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• پیوند نظر شنبه, 06 بهمن 1403 07:07 ارسال شده توسط บาคาร่า777

  Surprise policy shifts risk undermining Prime Minister Narendra
  Modi's flagship 'Make in India' initiative, which aims to create millions of jobs
  and boost growth, industry executives say.
  
  The new comes after India's apparent U-turn over a locomotive deal with General Electric,
  signed in 2015.
  
  GE won a $2.6 billion contract to supply 1,000 diesel locomotives - the biggest direct investment in India by a
  US firm and the first deal awarded to a foreign firm after India
  allowed 100% investment in its railways - as part of efforts to overhaul its creaking, colonial-era infrastructure.
  
  
  
  
  
  The General Electric (GE) PowerHaul series diesel-electric locomotive (file pic)
  
  But the railways ministry said last week it wouldn't need diesel after all - hoping to
  save on fuel and maintenance costs - and suggested GE might want to make electric engines instead.
  
  
  Electric engines are usually used for passenger trains, while diesel is used for freight.
  
  Around 25-30 percent of India's locomotives are diesel-engined.
  
  
  
  'An alteration of this contract will have serious impact on job creation and skills development, and
  cause the government to incur substantial costs. This will also undermine government's signature 'Make in India' initiative.'
  
  The policy shift could cost New Delhi millions of dollars in compensation - GE is
  already building a factory for the diesel locos - but executives and investors say it is also an important test for a government that needs
  foreign investment to create jobs and reboot growth ahead of a 2019 general election.
  
  'The GE case is very important symbolically because they have
  been among the earliest and most committed investors,' said Amitabh Dubey, a political analyst at research
  firm Trusted Sources.
  
  'People will be watching to see how this plays out, particularly
  because the railway contracts were initiatives that the government pushed consciously and worked very hard to get
  these people in.
  
  'To then turn around two years later and change your strategy will bother a lot of people,' he said.
  
  
  GE has already shipped its first diesel locomotive to India and is completing a
  factory in the state of Bihar. It has created around
  1,000 jobs at the plant and a maintenance shed, and 5,000 jobs in the supplier network.
  
  
  
  
  
  General Electric Co. (GE) Evolution Series Tier 4 diesel locomotives stand on the final assembly line at the GE Manufacturing Solutions
  facility in Fort Worth, Texas, US
  
  In a statement, the US firm said the government's change would put future foreign investment at risk.
  
  
  'An alteration of this contract will have serious impact on job creation and
  skills development, and cause the government to incur substantial costs,' it said.
  
  
  'This will also undermine government's signature 'Make in India' initiative.'
  
  FDI Growth Slowing
  
  Foreign direct investment (FDI) into India topped $60 billion in fiscal 2016-17,
  almost double the levels before Modi came to power in 2014.
  
  
  But after increasing by more than 20 percent in the first two years of the Modi
  government, FDI growth was less than half that rate in the latest financial
  year, hit by tax changes and a shock move to withdraw most of India's
  banknotes overnight.
  
  
  
  
  Investors say India needs foreign investment to
  create jobs and reboot growth (file pic)
  
  
  
  
  
  After increasing by more than 20 percent in the first two years of the Modi government,
  FDI growth was less than half that rate in the latest financial year
  
  Yashwant Sinha, a veteran leader of Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and a former finance minister,
  said poorly executed policy shifts had stalled growth.
  'Economies are destroyed more easily than they are built,' he wrote in a
  newspaper column on Wednesday.
  
  India's economy, Asia's third-largest, grew at a 3-year low of 5.7 percent in April-June.
  
  
  Three-point turn 
  
  In another example of shifting goalposts, India
  this month blindsided the auto industry by almost doubling the maximum levy on luxury
  cars and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) - just weeks after first setting the rate as part of a major
  tax change.
  
  Rahil Ansari, head of Audi India, said sudden shifts affect
  companies' ability to plan ahead, and could force changes.
  
  
  'This is bound to adversely impact sales, by possibly a double-digit reduction, and will reduce revenues for the company, dealers
  and perhaps also tax revenue for the government,' he said.
  
  
  
  Rival Mercedes-Benz also said the luxury car industry has been at the receiving end
  of arbitrary policies, and a hike in levies would affect its future expansion plans
  under the 'Make in India' initiative.
  
  
  
  
  A new General Electric Co. (GE) Evolution Series Tier 4 diesel locomotive is seen on the test track
  outside the GE Manufacturing Solutions facility in Fort Worth, Texas,
  US
  
  For change to happen in a country like India, it sometimes has to be done in a disruptive manner, and foreign investors should expect that and plan for it, said Sandip Beri, partner at Delhi-based law
  firm Shardul Amarchand Mangaldas.
  
  However, the government should give industry fair time to comply with new rules, and analyse its own contractual obligations, before changing policy, he added. 
  
  
  
  
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  'There is no question that industry wants stability and predictability.'
  
  India's inability to make up its mind on its tax structure and how it responds to foreign companies pre-dates the Modi government,
  says Saurabh Mukherjea, CEO of Mumbai-based brokerage Ambit Capital.
  
  
  'I can understand why GE is peeved, but (I'm) not sure how one should take their broader point on the impact on the economic
  climate in India,' he told Reuters.
  
  ($1 = 0.8519 euros)
  
  
   
  
  
  Sensex crashes as foreign investment fears take hold
  
  by Mail Today Bureau 
  
  The SENSEX on Wednesday crashed by 440 points to close at a three-month low as the rupee faltered
  amid rising foreign fund outflows.
  
  Expectations of a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve and
  lingering North Korean worries also dented risk appetite.
  
  
  The market extended losses as bears hammered down stock prices for the
  seventh day in a row.
  
  
  
  
  Share brokers observe the market reactions at BSE
  
  Foreign investors have net sold $777 million worth of Indian shares
  so far this month. 
  
  They sold nearly $2 billion worth of equities in August as stretched valuations and simmering North Korea
  tensions saw foreign investors pulling out.
  
  The US Federal Reserve last week reiterated it would continue gradually raising interest rates, including
  once more this year.
  
  Concerns that foreign capital will move out sooner rather than later after US
  Fed Chair Janet Yellen indicated that interest rates will firm up led to
  a dampening of investor sentiments.
  
  Yellen, in a speech, said the US Federal Reserve should stick to gradual rate hikes despite the uncertainty about the inflation trajectory.
  
  
  This was enough for foreign investors to hit the exit button, to look for avenues that yield higher
  returns.
  
  The rupee sank to an over six-month  low of 65.75 vis-à-vis the US dollar
  during the day.
  
  The lingering Korean stand-off dealt a further blow after US President Donald Trump ramped
  up his threats saying America is totally prepared for a military option on North Korea, warning that would be devastating.
  
  
  Updates of a military action on the Indian-Myanmar border accelerated the fall
  in the market, which has been on a downhill drive ahead of the derivatives expiry on Thursday.
  
  
  The Sensex settled lower by 439.95 points, or 1.39 per cent,
  at 31,159.81, the weakest closing since June 30 when the benchmark index had
  settled at 30,921.61.It had lost 824 points in the previous
  six sessions.
  
  The contagion spread to the 50-share NSE Nifty as well, which
  after regaining the key 9,900-mark at one stage closed down 135.75 points, or 1.38 per
  cent, at 9,735.75 - a level last seen on August 11 when it closed at
  9,710.80.
  
  'Additionally, the slowdown in GST tax collection dented sentiment
  and investors expected that the GST-led disruption is
  likely to extend and will hurt earnings for the next few quarters,' said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services Ltd. 
  
  
  
  
  
  
  Investors' wealth as measured by market capitalisation of BSE listed companies took a big knock of
  Rs 1,79,524 crore.
  
  Adani Ports was the worst hit, plunging by as much as 4.85 per
  cent, followed by SBI which fell by 2.89 per cent.
  The overall losses swelled because of weakness in heavyweight RIL, Dr Reddy's, Sun Pharma and ICICI Bank.
  
  
  
  TCS emerged as the big gainer, up 0.62 per cent, while Coal
  India rose too.  
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